21 October 2008

- Polling Issues -

Marc Ambinder asks:
If white men are moving significantly to Sen. McCain, as seen in a lot of the IVR polls and a few phone polls (PPP in FL, Rasmussen Nat'l Tracking, Morning Call Tracking in PA, FoxNews/Rasmussen Tracking in FL), why have most of the national tracking polls failed to pick up the movement?

Maybe because white men are not in fact moving significantly to McCain? Vice versa, movement in the other demographic categories is more than counteracting any movement by white men.